Ticket price forecasting for live events

Life Hacks Published on 27 October 2009 in Life Hacks

Seat Geek is a free service that helps users find tickets when they're cheapest. Currently focused on Major League Baseball games and select concerts in the US, Seat Geek employs a sophisticated algorithm to predict whether the price of a queried ticket is set to rise or fall—similar to what Bing Travel (formerly Farecast) does for flight tickets. If the price is expected to go down, users can sign up to receive a free email alert when it's at rock bottom. Seat Geek also scours the web in for the best deals at any moment, linking to affiliated ticket merchants like StubHub, RazorGator and eBay.

Seat Geek's patent-pending algorithm draws on a large pool of data that includes millions of historical ticket transactions. This data is crunched together with other factors, such as, for baseball games: team statistics, the weather, the venue, the price-level of the seat—even who'll be pitching. According to SeatGeek co-founder Jack Groetzinger, the algorithm is accurate 80% of the time, and it's also self-training, meaning it gets better every day.

As our sister-site explains in its latest briefing, consumers increasingly expect instant gratification. Seat Geek and other 'prediction engines' take that one step further, by drawing on the web's informational riches to tell consumers how things will be, enabling them to make better decisions now. The future has never been as near, and opportunities abound for entrepreneurs that can bring it even closer. (Related: Zigabid ticketing marketplaceReal-time pricing error alerts for consumers to pounce on.)

Website: www.seatgeek.com
Contact: admin@seatgeek.com

Spotted by: Cecilia Biemann

Comments on this idea:

It will be difficult to accurately forecast prices. Some factors are too random for an algorithm to recognise.

No really. This is unbelievable. 1) Transaction data is proprietary and not available. They are probably looking at asking prices which are not the same thing 2) They have only a few ticket companies when there are hundreds in the market. 3) Prices always go down unless they go up. The factors that make them go up are future events that are not certain. The travel analogy is flawed - if Bing is wrong, there are always more flights. With events, if they get it wrong, then you overpaid or maybe you missed the event all together. Finally your comment makes no sense - if consumers want immediate gratification, they want it now. By definition, delaying is not desirable.

Post a comment:

Please note that Springwise is not associated with the company / product mentioned in this article.

Your email address will not be published with your comment.

 
 
 

Type the characters you see in the picture above.

 
About Springwise

Springwise and its network of 8,000 spotters scan the globe for smart new business ideas, delivering instant inspiration to entrepreneurial minds.
Time to start the next big thing!

Free newsletter

Don't miss a single
new business idea:
sign up for our
weekly newsletter.

Next issue due
2 December 2009.

You can also subscribe to our RSS feed.

Or follow us on